Certainty in the NBA case, the best shooter at this kind of distance got 63%: http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/player/_/stat/3-points
Some time ago, I recall seeing a video of two NBA players with >50% 3 point shooting in the regular season shooting 100 three point shots with no opposition pressure just in a gym. They got around 80/100 shots in.
Having played a great deal of basketball and made a surprising number of attempts* at throwing coins into (a slightly larger) target from around 1.5 metres, I would definitely consider the coin throw to be substantially harder.
*Thousands of attempts at least. Circus lol.
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Post by Mats1
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